A ‘Sustained’ Crypto Winter? Trading Volume Hits Lowest Levels Since 2023 – Report

TL;DR
The crypto market has likely entered a 'sustained' winter as trading volume and market capitalization continue to decline. In Q1 2026, the market cap dropped by 20.4%, marking the second consecutive quarter of losses.
Key points
- Crypto market likely entered a sustained winter
- Market capitalization dropped by 20.4% in Q1 2026
- Trading volume declined by 27.2% Quarter-over-Quarter
- Market cap ended Q1 2026 at $2.4 trillion
- 45% below October 2025 peak of $4.27 trillion
A recent report has suggested that the digital assets market has likely entered its “crypto winter” after the sector’s market capitalization and trading volume continued to decline for a second consecutive quarter.
Crypto Winter Arrives As Volumes Drop
On Thursday, CoinGecko affirmed that the market transitioned from a sharp correction to a “sustained” crypto winter in Q1 2026. This shift occurred as the late 2025 bearish momentum collided with the onset of global geopolitical tensions in the first quarter of the year.
According to its 2026 Q1 Crypto Industry Report, the total crypto market capitalization dropped around 20.4%, roughly $622 billion, ending the first quarter at $2.4 trillion and marking the second consecutive quarter of decline.
This contraction, which accelerated between mid-January and early February, left the market around 45% below its October peak of $4.27 trillion. During this period, daily trading activity also declined by 27.2% Quarter-over-Quarter (QoQ), with an average daily trading volume of $117.8 billion.

Total market cap and spot market overview in Q1. Source: CoinGecko
Meanwhile, spot trading volume on the top 10 centralized exchanges (CEXes), including Binance, MEXC, KuCoin, and Bybit, decreased 39.1% QoQ to $2.7 trillion, seeing a notable decline by the end of Q1.
Per CoinGecko data, volumes held above the $1 trillion mark in January, but fell throughout the quarter. With only $0.8 trillion in trading volume, March was the weakest month of Q1, recording the lowest levels since November 2023.
While Binance maintained its dominance, with a 37% market share, MEXC was the only other exchange with a double-digit market share in Q1, at 10%.
“All top 10 spot CEXes saw trading volume decline in Q1, with drops ranging from -23% to -55%. HTX saw the biggest slump, with its quarterly trading volume dropping to $133.6 billion in 2026 Q1 from $294.4 billion in 2025 Q4. Its market share fell to 4.9%, placing it in #10,” the report added.
Majors Decline, Stablecoins Remain Flat
Crypto market-wide declines continued in Q1, as majors pulled back for a second consecutive quarter. Bitcoin (BTC) fell 22% during the quarter but outperformed the other top five crypto assets by a narrow margin. However, it continued to underperform other major assets, including Oil, Gold, and the S&P 500.
Ethereum (ETH), BNB, XRP, and Solana (SOL) recorded similar drawdowns as Bitcoin, which “weighed heavily on total market capitalization.” Legacy tokens such as Uniswap (UNI) and Chainlink (LINK) also faced continued pressure despite institutional adoption and gaining “digital commodity” status under the SEC-CFTC Joint Interpretive Guidance issued last month.
The report noted that relative strength emerged amongst some altcoins after the Q4 2025 sell-off, including Hyperliquid (HYPE) and Bittensor (TAO), which outperformed the broader sector.
Meanwhile, the total stablecoin market capitalization stayed mostly flat in Q1, seeing a marginal 0.5% increase to end the quarter at $309.9 billion. During this period, Tether’s USDT saw its supply decline 1.6% to $184.1 billion, the first meaningful drop since Q2 2022. Circle’s USDC grew 2.4% to hit $77.1 billion, while Sky’s USDS and WLFI’s USD1 recorded double-digit growth.
Nonetheless, stablecoin’s stability despite the challenging landscape for the broader crypto market in Q1 highlighted “the sector’s role as a liquidity anchor,” CoinGecko emphasized.

The total crypto market capitalization is at $2.58 trillion in the one-week chart. Source: TOTAL on TradingView
Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com
Q&A
What is a 'sustained' crypto winter?
A 'sustained' crypto winter refers to a prolonged period of declining market conditions in the digital assets sector, characterized by reduced trading volumes and market capitalization.
How much did the crypto market capitalization drop in Q1 2026?
In Q1 2026, the total crypto market capitalization dropped by approximately 20.4%, which is around $622 billion.
What factors contributed to the crypto market's decline in early 2026?
The decline was influenced by a combination of bearish momentum from late 2025 and the onset of global geopolitical tensions in early 2026.
What was the average daily trading volume in Q1 2026?
The average daily trading volume in Q1 2026 was $117.8 billion, reflecting a 27.2% decline Quarter-over-Quarter.





