Altcoins climb as bitcoin and ether retreat from weekly highs

The crypto market dropped back on Thursday with bitcoin BTC$80,953.28 losing around 0.7% since midnight UTC following Wednesday's rally to a three-month high of $82,800.

Ether lost around 1% during Asia and European hours, now trading at $2,325 having briefly topped $2,420 on Wednesday.

The broader market is showing early signs of a bullish reversal following a two-month consolidation pattern between February and April, although it's worth noting that bitcoin needs to break $98,000 in order to break its current cycle of lower highs and lower lows.

The altcoin market continues to indicate investor rotation, with the likes of ALGO and TON rising by between 8% and 9% since midnight UTC.

U.S. equity futures are flat on Thursday while the dollar index (DXY) is down by around 0.1% as investors remain hopeful over a deal to end the war in Iran.

Derivatives positioning

• Crypto futures market activity remained relatively subdued over the past 24 hours, with total futures volume rising just 3% to $216 billion, while aggregate open interest (OI) declined 3% to $133 billion. The divergence between suggests that positioning is being reduced rather than expanded, pointing to deleveraging across the market.
• BTC open interest fell to 762K BTC from 793K BTC a day earlier, ending a three-day streak of sustained positioning growth. Among major assets, DOGE recorded the sharpest decline in OI, down 6%, while XRP OI slipped roughly 1%. The declines across these assets suggest capital outflows and reduced speculative appetite in the near term.
• DOGE positioning appears particularly weak. Funding rates remain negative at an annualized rate of around 6%, indicating that short positions are paying longs to maintain exposure. At the same time, DOGE’s 24-hour cumulative volume delta (CVD) is the most negative among major tokens, signaling aggressive selling pressure from market participants using market orders.
• BTC funding rates, meanwhile, remain broadly neutral after averaging around minus 4% annualized in recent weeks. The normalization in funding suggests that excessive bearish positioning has largely been flushed out of the market. Some observers view this reset as constructive for BTC price action.
• In contrast, ETH and SOL both recorded OI increases of 1% or more despite weakening spot prices. Rising open interest alongside falling prices typically suggests fresh short positioning is entering the market, indicating traders may be positioning for additional downside in these tokens.
• TON continues to stand out on the positioning front. Open interest climbed more than 10% to another record high, signaling continued capital inflows into the asset. TON’s price briefly reached $2.90 earlier today, its highest level since September, and the token is now up 93% on the week. The simultaneous rise in both price and OI points to strong directional participation.