
Tron in Trouble? ‘Glaring Divergence’ Flagged Behind TRX’s Latest Surge
Tron’s TRX has surged over 23% but faces potential correction risks due to declining on-chain activity.

Bitcoin is currently holding the $74,000-$75,000 area, with analysts predicting a potential rally towards $82,500. However, this level may act as a ceiling for further gains.
As Bitcoin (BTC) attempts to hold the $74,000-$75,000 area, an analyst suggested that the flagship crypto could see another 10% rally toward a key area, but warned that this level could be the ceiling.
In a Wednesday analysis, crypto analyst Rekt Capital shared an outlook for Bitcoin’s potential rally, as it holds the $73,000-$74,000 area as support for the first time in a month.
The analyst highlighted that BTC’s price continues to move between its 2021 and 2024 all-time highs (ATHs), which have been a major resistance area since the early February correction.
After the recent market rally, the flagship crypto retested the 2021 ATH as a new support level on the weekly timeframe, but ultimately rejected from the 2024 ATH during last week’s close.
According to the analyst, if Bitcoin can weekly close above the 2024 ATH, located around $74,000, then the price could move into the high $70,000. “Until that confirmation, however, price will continue to be sandwiched between 2021 and 2024 old All Time Highs,” he added.
Rekt Capital also noted that BTC has formed a double bottom pattern in the weekly timeframe, and is “now pressing beyond the resistance” of the formation. As he explained, the cryptocurrency would need a weekly close and a post-breakout retest of the top of the double bottom, around $72,810, to confirm a breakout.

Bitcoin’s breakout confirmation could set up another rally. Source: Rekt Capital on X
If it confirms a breakout from this formation, the price could rally toward the $81,000-$82,500 area in a Measured Move. Nonetheless, the analyst warned that, given the phase of the market cycle we are currently in, the price will likely develop a macro market structure that “will appear sufficiently bullish only to ultimately fail over time.”
“The failure could occur by virtue of rejecting from the Double Bottom resistance, by failed post-breakout retest to register a fake-breakout, or by falling short of a Measured Move once the breakout is confirmed.”
Holding the $74,000-$75,000 area is significant as it indicates potential support for Bitcoin, which could lead to a rally.
Analysts are predicting a potential rally target of $82,500 for Bitcoin.
The key resistance levels for Bitcoin's price are the 2021 and 2024 all-time highs.
A double bottom formation typically indicates a potential reversal in price trends, suggesting that Bitcoin may rally after holding support.

Tron’s TRX has surged over 23% but faces potential correction risks due to declining on-chain activity.

Circle launches Arc blockchain with $3 billion valuation and $222 million presale

Google's Threat Intelligence Group reported that hackers used AI to create a zero-day exploit that bypasses two-factor authentication in a popular web tool. This marks the first confirmed instance of AI-assisted zero-day development in the wild.

XRP whales are under fire for allegedly manipulating liquidity in the market. What does this mean for investors?

Bipartisan agreement reached to strengthen law enforcement in crypto regulation.

Solana's Alpenglow upgrade has begun community testing ahead of a full rollout, expected by Q3 or Q4.
See every story in Crypto — including breaking news and analysis.
Rekt Capital also analyzed BTC’s historical behavior to assess the ongoing rally’s potential failure. The analyst noted that whenever Bitcoin has broken down from its macro triangle formation, the price usually retraces until it forms a bear market bottom. However, the way the cryptocurrency does that has differed from cycle to cycle, he detailed.
In 2018 and 2022, the breakdown led to a very quick bearish acceleration toward the bear market bottom accumulation period. On the contrary, Bitcoin consolidated below the triangle base in 2014, retested it, and saw another leg down.
This time, BTC’s performance resembles its 2014 breakdown, as it has been consolidating behind the triangle base after losing it in January. To the analyst, if the cryptocurrency continues to mirror its 2014 performance, the price could consolidate a bit longer, potentially rally to the base at $82,500, before rejecting.
“Furthermore, Bitcoin tends to build major consolidation periods on breakdowns from Macro Triangles. In 2018 and 2022, these major consolidation periods developed at Bear Market bottoms,” Rekt Capital explained.
“Whereas in 2014, Bitcoin built two such periods: just beneath the Macro Triangle it broke down from, and then later at its respective Bear Market Bottom,” he continued.
The analyst concluded that if history repeats, BTC’s current consolidation could precede additional downside, and another major consolidation period could develop during the bear market bottom.

Bitcoin’s performance in the one-week chart. Source: BTCUSDT on Tradingview
Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com