Bitcoin ‘Risk Index’ Hits Zero, Has Selling Pressure Finally Exhausted?

The Bitcoin Risk Index just hit zero, “a full low-risk regime,” reported Swissblock on Tuesday. The metric is a proprietary indicator that gauges the overall risk level in the Bitcoin market. It essentially measures the relative balance between selling and buying pressure, and how “risky” it is to hold or buy BTC. Swissblock noted that it signals reduced selling pressure, a completion of the bottoming phase (but not yet expansion), and “stabilization inside the low-risk regime.”

“Historically, these zones mark where selling pressure is fully exhausted and bullish structure can begin to rebuild.”

Bitcoin at Bear Market Resistance

CryptoQuant analyst ‘Darkfost’ observed that Bitcoin’s Coin Days Destroyed (CDD) metric has “collapsed,” which signals reduced long-term holder activity.

“After a prolonged period during which LTHs were significantly more active on Bitcoin, their behavior now appears to be shifting,” they said. While this may sound ominous, it could signal units being moved into quantum-secure custody and is also a sign of reduced selling pressure. “When CDD declines to this extent, it still indicates that selling pressure is decreasing.” Meanwhile, CryptoQuant research head Julio Moreno noted that the price of Bitcoin is approaching a major bear market resistance – the traders’ on-chain Realized Price, currently at $76,800. Alphractal reported something similar, stating that Bitcoin is approaching key on-chain cost resistance levels, including the True Market Mean Price and the short-term holder Realized Price. “It is important to monitor this region, as historically these levels have acted as resistance during bear market phases.” Bitcoin is approaching key on-chain cost resistance levels such as the True Market Mean Price and the STH Realized Price.

It is important to monitor this region, as historically these levels have acted as resistance during Bear Market phases.

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