HYPE Is Up 130% In 2026 — But This Top Analyst Sees A Dangerous Setup Forming Around $60

Hyperliquid’s HYPE token has surged 55% in a single week and delivered more than 130% in year-to-date returns — but prominent crypto analyst Ali Martinez (@alicharts) is warning that the asset is now approaching a critical resistance zone with multiple technical indicators flashing sell signals simultaneously, a setup he says could trigger a retracement toward $40 if momentum fades at current levels.

In a post on X, Martinez laid out the technical case with precision. Three converging signals are appearing on HYPE at the same time: the TD Sequential Combo 13 sell signal is already active, a standard green 9 sell signal could confirm as early as the next session, and both the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the Chande Momentum Oscillator are sitting at historically elevated — or overheated — levels, per the analyst’s analysis.

HYPE's price trends to the upside following a surge in institutional adoption, as seen on the daily chart. Source: HYPEUSD on Tradingview 

Why The Setup Concerns Martinez

The significance of the current configuration lies in precedent. According to Martinez’s post, the last two occasions when TD Sequential sell signals appeared on HYPE while the RSI and Chande Momentum Oscillator were simultaneously at overheated levels, both instances led to significant corrections. The analyst is not pointing to isolated indicators — he is pointing to a specific combination of signals that has already proven consequential twice in HYPE’s relatively short price history.

HYPE's price entering a dangerous area if the asset can't sustain its current bullish momentum, as seen on the TD Sequential Indicator. Source: Ali Martinez on X 

The analyst does leave room for one final push before any reversal materializes. HYPE could still push toward $59 or even slightly above $60 before momentum fades, he notes — but frames that move as a potential exhaustion run rather than the beginning of a new leg higher. If rejection comes from the $59–$60 area, a retracement toward approximately $40 becomes increasingly likely, per his assessment.