When Bitcoin Gets Ignored, It Tends To Rally The Hardest, Analyst Says

A closely watched on-chain indicator has returned to a range that has marked major turning points in Bitcoin’s price history, and some analysts say the setup looks familiar. The Bitcoin Fund Flow Ratio on Binance has dropped to between 0.010 and 0.012 — a level reached only five other times since 2018, each preceding a significant recovery.

The metric tracks how much Bitcoin activity is happening on exchanges relative to the broader network. When the ratio falls, it means fewer coins are moving to exchanges, which typically signals weaker selling pressure.

Analyst MorenoDV, citing CryptoQuant data, described the current setup as a “decision zone.” Bitcoin could stay weak if demand remains low, or selling exhaustion could quietly lay the groundwork for the next move up.

When Attention Fades, Bears Feel Safe

That idea runs through a broader argument being made by market commentators right now. Rand Group, posting on X, pointed to Bitcoin’s Sell-Side Risk Ratio chart and argued that some of the asset’s most explosive moves came right after periods when almost nobody was paying attention.

Every time “no one cares about Bitcoin” it bounces the hardest

Are you paying attention or nah? pic.twitter.com/r7iSTorbgV

— Rand Group (@randgroup) May 22, 2026

Historical data backs that up. Reports indicate that similar low-interest phases lined up with Bitcoin trading near $3,000 in late 2018, around $9,000 in 2020, and close to $25,000 in 2023 — all of which turned out to be bottoms before sharp upward moves. Each time, selling pressure had dried up before buyers returned in force.