
Ripple Price Prediction: Why XRP Is Lagging Hard—And What It Must Do to Catch Up
XRP is lagging behind Bitcoin's surge—what's holding it back?

A soldier has been arrested for making a $400,000 insider bet on Polymarket related to a raid on Venezuelan President Maduro. The incident raises concerns about insider trading in the crypto market.
Mentioned in this story
Morning Minute is a daily newsletter written by*Tyler Warner. The analysis and opinions expressed are his own and do not necessarily reflect those of Decrypt.* *And check out our new daily news show covering all of the top stories in 5 minutes or less, downloadable on Apple Pod or Spotify.*
GM!
Today’s top news:
🚩Soldier Arrested for $400K Polymarket Insider Bet on Maduro Raid
The Department of Justice announced Thursday that Army Master Sergeant Gannon Ken Van Dyke, 38, has been arrested and charged with using classified military information to profit on Polymarket.
Van Dyke participated in Operation Absolute Resolve, the January 3 raid that captured Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro, and placed 13 bets on the platform between December 26 and January 2 using a VPN to mask his location.
He wagered approximately $33,000 across contracts tied to whether Maduro would be removed, whether US forces would invade Venezuela, and related outcomes. When the operation succeeded, he walked away with over $409,000 in winnings and immediately moved most of the proceeds to a foreign crypto wallet before depositing the remainder into a newly created brokerage account.
The DOJ charged Van Dyke with unlawful use of confidential government information, theft of government information, commodities fraud, wire fraud, and making an unlawful monetary transaction. The CFTC filed a parallel civil complaint the same day. Polymarket said it identified the account independently, referred the matter to the DOJ, and cooperated fully with the investigation.
Trump, asked about the arrest Thursday, said: “The whole world, unfortunately, has become somewhat of a casino... I was never much in favor of it. I don’t like it conceptually.”
Unfortunately, Trump is probably right…
The soldier made a $400,000 bet on Polymarket, capitalizing on insider information regarding a raid on Venezuelan President Maduro.
The arrest highlights potential regulatory scrutiny and risks associated with insider trading practices in the cryptocurrency market.
Tether executed its largest freeze ever, impacting $344 million USDT on the Tron network.
Bitcoin is currently priced at $78,300, showing slight gains despite rising oil prices.

XRP is lagging behind Bitcoin's surge—what's holding it back?

Bitcoin is at $77.6k, closing in on the $80k barrier. Can it break through?

XRP is set for key upgrades in 2026, including a lending protocol and Single Asset Vaults.

XRP indicates on-chain stabilization despite weak price action.

Zcash (ZEC) jumps 11.8% following its listing on THORChain.

XRP supply drops 1.23% due to ETFs; Bitcoin struggles post-options expiry.
See every story in Crypto — including breaking news and analysis.
🥶 Tether Freezes $344M in USDT - Its Largest Enforcement Action Ever
Tether announced Thursday that it froze $344 million in USDT across two wallets on the Tron blockchain following requests from US law enforcement. One wallet held $212.9 million, the other $131.3 million.
The freeze was coordinated with OFAC and multiple US agencies after the addresses were flagged for suspected sanctions evasion and criminal network activity. Tether moved to restrict the assets before the funds could be transferred further. The company did not identify the wallet owners or specify the nature of the underlying criminal activity.
The action is the largest single enforcement freeze in Tether’s history. To date, Tether has worked with more than 340 law enforcement agencies across 65 countries and has frozen a total of $4.4 billion in assets, including $2.1 billion tied to US agencies. CEO Paolo Ardoino: “USDT is not a safe haven for illicit activity. When credible links to sanctioned entities or criminal networks are identified, we act immediately and decisively. Recent events have shown what happens when platforms fail to move quickly.”
That last line is a direct reference to Circle. During the $285 million Drift Protocol exploit earlier this month, $230 million in USDC moved through Circle’s Cross-Chain Transfer Protocol during US business hours. Circle declined to freeze the funds, citing the absence of a formal law enforcement request or OFAC designation at the time. Tether, by contrast, contributed $127.5 million toward Drift’s recovery plan. Tether is certainly doing its part to separate itself from Circle…
⚖️ SBF Drops New Trial Bid, Says He Won’t Get a Fair Hearing
Sam Bankman-Fried filed a letter withdrawing his Rule 33 motion for a new trial.
The withdrawal was without prejudice, meaning he can refile once his pending Second Circuit appeal is resolved.
His reason, stated directly to Judge Lewis Kaplan: “I do not believe I will get a fair hearing on this topic in front of you.”
The motion itself had been filed in February by his mother, attorney Barbara Fried, on his behalf, which prompted Judge Kaplan to order clarification on who actually wrote it. SBF confirmed in Thursday’s letter that he conceived the arguments, drafted multiple versions, and did most of the legal research himself while incarcerated, with his parents making editorial suggestions and a New York attorney providing limited input.
His Second Circuit appeal arguing the trial was “fundamentally unfair” remains active, as does his request for reassignment away from Kaplan, whom he has accused of “extreme bias.” He is currently serving a 25-year sentence for seven counts of fraud and conspiracy tied to FTX’s 2022 collapse.
🤖 Meta Is Cutting 8,000 Jobs to Pay for Its AI Spending Spree
Meta announced Thursday it will lay off approximately 8,000 employees, about 10% of its total workforce, effective May 20.
An internal memo stated the reason: “We’re doing this as part of our continued effort to run the company more efficiently and to allow us to offset the other investments we’re making.”
Those other investments are AI. Meta spent $72 billion on capital expenditures in 2025 and projects that number to climb to between $115 and $135 billion in 2026, driven primarily by its Meta Superintelligence Labs and data center buildout.
Middle management and non-engineering roles are expected to take the biggest hit. Meta also closed 6,000 open positions that will no longer be filled.
This follows Zuckerberg’s comment on the January earnings call that 2026 would be “the year that AI starts to dramatically change the way that we work,” and it’s clearly starting to have its impact.
Corporate Treasuries & ETFs
Meme Coin Tracker